教员队伍变化对教学成果影响的预测模型  

Prediction Model on Influence of Teacher Quantity on Teaching Result

作　　者：韩维[1] 岳奎志[1] 杨帆[1] 史建国[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院七系,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《计算机与现代化》2012年第2期52-55,共4页Computer and Modernization

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金资助项目(20080431386)

摘　　要：为解决院校教员数量波动对教学经验及教学成果的影响问题,基于系统动力学理论,构建影响教员队伍变化对教学成果影响的各元素存量流量图,建立院校教学成果预测模型,并以系统动力学软件Vensim PLE 5.9为平台进行建模仿真。运行结果表明,该模型能进行教学成果趋势的预测,可为考虑教学成果因素时教员应聘与解聘方案的制定提供理论依据。This paper builts the stock and flow diagrams about every element of impacting on teaching result with the change of teacher quantity on the basis of system dynamics,establishes the prediction model about teaching result in college,and simulates with Vensim PLE 5.9 to solve the bad influence on the teaching experience and teaching result when the teacher quantity has changed in a college.The simulation test shows that the model can make prediction on the teaching result trend and provide theoretical evidence for making plan of hiring and firing teachers with consideration of teaching result.

关 键 词：教员队伍 教学成果 系统动力学 预测 模型 

分 类 号：C391.9[社会学]