甘肃省第三产业对经济增长贡献的实证研究  

Empirical Research of the Third Industry Contribution on Economic Growth of Gansu Province

作　　者：聂正彦[1] 汪宇凤[1] 马亚妮[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2012年第3期231-233,共3页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：西北师范大学应用经济学重点学科建设基金资助项目

摘　　要：第三产业的加快发展是生产力提高和社会进步的必然结果。大力发展第三产业有利于提高工农业生产的社会化和专业化水平,有利于优化生产结构,促进市场充分发育,缓解就业压力,从而促进整个经济持续、快速和健康发展。利用1991—2009年数据,以向量自回归模型为基础,采用单位根检验、协整分析和格兰杰因果检验等方法对甘肃省第三产业与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明,1991—2009年甘肃省第三产业总值对GDP的长期弹性为0.35035,第三产业对经济增长具有积极的促进作用。Fast development of the third indus,, was the inevitable result in productivity improvement and social progress. Developing the third industry made for promoting industrial and agricultural production socialization and enhancing professional level, helping to optimize produetion structure, promoting the market fully developed, relieving employment pressure, thus promoted the whole economy sustained and rapid healthy development. Using the 1991 -2009 data, based on vector auto- regression models, using unit root test, cointegration analysis and granger causality test methods, analyzed the relat：onship between the third industry and economic growth in Gansu Province. Conclusion showed that from 1991 to 2009, from the long - term, the flexibility was 0.35035 of third industry gross to C;DP. The third industry had a positive function on economic growth.

关 键 词：第三产业 经济增长 向量自回归 甘肃省 

分 类 号：F264.1[经济管理—国民经济]