中国拆船业的发展对策  

Development countermeasures of China's ship-breaking industry

作　　者：何剑彤[1] 伍海燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《大连海事大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第1期9-12,共4页Journal of Dalian Maritime University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(40271029)

摘　　要：随着国际拆船业持续繁荣,拆船大国之间的竞争越来越激烈。如何促进中国拆船业的发展,提升其国际竞争力成为亟待解决的问题。首先阐述中国拆船业的发展历程,然后对影响中国拆船业发展的因素进行分析,并运用状态空间模型预测未来两年世界和中国拆船业的发展状况,进而提出促进中国拆船业健康发展的相关建议。As international ship-breaking industry continues to be prosperous,ship-breaking countries become more and more competitive.How to promote the development of China＇s ship-breaking industry and enhance its international competitiveness has become a very important problem needed to be solved.This paper firstly showed the development history of China＇s ship-breaking industry,and then analyzed the influencing factors of China＇s ship-breaking industry.Secondly it used the state space model to predict the scrapping volume of world and China in future two years.At last it put forward some suggestion about how to promote the development of China＇s ship-breaking industry healthily.

关 键 词：拆船业 状态空间模型 发展对策 

分 类 号：F407.474[经济管理—产业经济]