快速城市化地区生态承载力评价研究——以深圳市为例  

EVALUATING CARRYING CAPACITY OF URBAN ECOSYSTEM IN A RAPIDLY URBANIZING AREA:CASE OF SHENZHEN

作　　者：荀斌[1] 于德永[1] 杜士强[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京100875

出　　处：《北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第1期74-80,共7页Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science)

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金;国家自然科学基金项目(41171404);地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室项目资助

摘　　要：利用生物免疫学原理构建城市生态系统承载力的免疫学模型,建立城市生态系统承载力评价指标体系,对深圳城市生态系统承载力进行定量化评价,研究城市生态系统对人类活动的支撑作用.结果表明:1996—2008年深圳城市生态系统承载力先降后升,压力则呈上升趋势,承载力的变化与压力增长呈现相互交织变化状态,压力的持续增加有超过城市生态系统承载能力的趋势.Immunological theory was used to build a model for carrying capacity of urban ecosystem,to be used for quantitative and comprehensive evaluations.It was found that carrying capacity of the urban ecosystem in Shenzhen from 1996 to 2008 decreased until 2004,then carrying capacity increased from 2004 to 2008.Urban ecosystem pressure increased linearly with increasing resource consumption and environmental pollution.Correlations between carrying capacity of the urban ecosystem and urban ecosystem pressure were alternately positive or negative.The consistent increase in urban ecosystem pressure in Shenzhen will tend to overcome carrying capacity of the urban ecosystem.

关 键 词：城市生态系统 承载力 可持续发展 深圳 

分 类 号：X171[环境科学与工程—环境科学]