山西省能源消费碳排放变化的因素分析  

Analysis on Factors of Carbon Emission Variation for Energy Consumption in Shanxi Province

作　　者：张一品[1] 钱贵霞[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古大学经济管理学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010021 [2]中美生态,能源及可持续性科学内蒙古研究中心,内蒙古呼和浩特010021

出　　处：《煤炭经济研究》2012年第2期42-46,共5页Coal Economic Research

摘　　要：文章基于扩展的Kaya恒等式,应用对数平均权重Divisia分解法对山西省1997～2008年的能源消费碳排放进行了分解分析。结果表明:产出规模效应对山西省该阶段能源消费碳排放的贡献率最大,达到53.14%,其次是能源强度效应为37.1%,紧随其后的依次是,产业结构效应为11.39%,人口规模效应为0.1%,能源结构效应为-1.5%。因此,目前山西省节能减排的重点在于提高能源效率,建立战略性新兴产业以及发展旅游业。Base on the expansion Kaya identical formula,the logarithmic mean weight Divisia resolution was applied to the resolution and analysis on the carbon emission of the energy consumption from 1997～2008 in Shanxi Province. The results showed that the output scale effect had a max contribution rate to the carbon emission of the energy during the stage in Shanxi Province and was reached at 53.14 %. Secondary the energy intensity effect was 37.1 %,the industrial structure effect was 11.39 %,the population scale effect was 0. 1% and the energy structure effect was-1.5 %. Therefore the key of the energy saving and emission reduction in Shanxi Province is to improve the energy efficiency,to establish a strategic new industry and to develop the tourist industry.

关 键 词：碳排放 产出规模 能源强度 山西省 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]