人民币汇率变动对我国贸易平衡的影响  

The Effect of RMB Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Different Industries in China

作　　者：李宏[1] 何穆彬[1] 钱利[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《天津师范大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第1期67-71,共5页Journal of Tianjin Normal University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(08BJY117)

摘　　要：传统贸易理论认为汇率影响贸易平衡,但并未对不同产业平衡进行区分。我们选取不同产业分析人民币实际汇率波动的影响发现,在影响中国对外贸易的各项因素中,人民币汇率变动对不同需求弹性的产业贸易收支具有不同的影响。Traditional balance-of-payments theory holds that a country＇s currency exchange rate changes will affect the size of the import and export and trade balance.Taking into account the different needs of industrial products,flexibility and competitiveness of our trade differences,as well as the changing of China＇s trade structure.This essay selects different types of industries in China for empirical test,and analysis comprehensively of the real exchange rate fluctuations in the RMB on China＇s balance of trade impact of the difference.The results show that the impact of China＇s foreign trade factors,the real exchange rate flexibility should be less than the income elasticity.There is a big difference in the impact of the RMB real effective exchange rate movements on trade balance of different industries.

关 键 词：人民币汇率 实际有效汇率 贸易收支 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学] F752