校园踩踏事件事故树分析  

Fault Tree Analysis of Stampede Accidents

作　　者：杨艳丽[1] 任伟[1] 李新[1] 石剑荣[1] 

机构地区：[1]苏州科技学院环境科学与工程学院,江苏苏州215011

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2012年第2期125-127,131,共4页Safety and Environmental Engineering

摘　　要：为了掌握中小学校园踩踏事件发生的原因,预防事故发生,本文收集和整理了近10年来的中小学校园踩踏事件案例,运用事故树方法分析了校园踩踏事件的起因,同时考虑管理因素对事件发生概率的影响,计算了校园踩踏事件发生的概率,并对基本事件进行了重要度分析,以为学校安全管理提供依据。To find out the occurrence laws of stampede accidents in primary and secondary schools and prevent these accidents,this paper collects 10 stampede accidents in the last ten years,analyzes the causes of stampede accidents with the fault tree analysis method and calculates the accident probability.Meanwhile,it takes into consideration the influence of management factors on the accident probability,and analyzes the accident events seriously.Eventually it draws the conclusion which offers scientific proof to the departments concerned with school administration.

关 键 词：校园 踩踏事故 事故树分析 概率 安全管理 

分 类 号：X928.9[环境科学与工程—安全科学] G47[文化科学—教育学]