旅游教育与旅游经济发展的关联度分析  

Correlation analysis of tourism education and tourism economy development

作　　者：赵亮[1] 李洪娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁科技大学工商管理学院,辽宁鞍山114051

出　　处：《辽宁科技大学学报》2012年第1期53-56,共4页Journal of University of Science and Technology Liaoning

基　　金：辽宁省教育科学"十一五"规划课题(JG10DB313)

摘　　要：运用关联分析方法对200l～2009年辽宁省旅游教育与旅游经济发展关联度进行了分析检验,根据灰色系统理论建立了辽宁省旅游教育的GM(1,1)预测模型。通过对辽宁省旅游专业人数的模拟预测,得出了辽宁省旅游专业人员需求将呈现快速增长趋势,2015年将达到94 247人的结论。提出了地方政府应充分重视旅游教育在经济社会发展中的重要作用,适度增加旅游教育投入,充分发挥旅游教育对旅游经济增长的直接促进作用等建议。By using the correlation analysis method,the analysis test is carried out for the correlation of tourism education and economic development from 2001 to 2009 in Liaoning province.According to the grey system theory,the prediction model GM（1,1） is established for tourism education in Liaoning province.From the simulation prediction,it is obtained that there is a fast increasing trend in the requirement of tourism professionals,and the numbers of tourism professionals will be 94 247 in 2015.Finally,some suggestions are proposed,which are including that the local government should pay more attention to the important effect of tourism education in the economic development,increase the investments of tourism education and fully exert the promoting effect of tourism education on the increase of tourism economy.

关 键 词：旅游教育 旅游经济 灰色关联度 

分 类 号：F590.3[经济管理—旅游管理]