港口物流与核心腹地经济发展关系的协整分析  

Cointegration on the Relationship of Port Logistics and Economic Development in the Core Hinterl and Illustrated

作　　者：樊祜广[1] 蒋惠园[1] 田小勇[1] 沈航[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学交通学院,武汉430063

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2012年第3期537-540,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

摘　　要：为了响应国家中部崛起战略,分析武汉港口物流与核心腹地经济发展之间的关系.根据2000～2010年武汉市港口物流与经济发展的数据,利用协整理论及其计量学分析软件eviews6.0,对武汉市港口物流与经济发展进行协整分析.通过协整检验发现,港口物流与区域经济发展之间存在长期的均衡关系;Granger因果检验表明,港口物流与经济发展之间存在单向的Granger因果关系,经济发展是港口集装箱吞吐量的格兰杰原因,表明武汉经济快速发展促进了港口集装箱吞吐量的增长,是港口物流发展的重要推动力.In order to respond to the rise of the central region strategy, clarify the relationship between Wuhan port logistics and the economic development , based on the data of port logistics and economic development of wuhan from 2000 to 2010,we cointegratie both of them by eviews software 6.0. The conclusions are as follows： first, there is a longterm equilibrium relationship between port logistics and economic development;second, there is oneway Granger causality between them, or economic de velopment is a granger reasons of the port container throughput. It states that Wuhan economic rapid development promoted the growth of the port container throughput, is an important impetus of the development of port logistics.

关 键 词：港口物流 协整分析 eviews6.0 核心腹地 

分 类 号：U6-9[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]