降雨径流模型及其应用  

Rainfall-runoff Model and Its Application

作　　者：宋亚娅[1] 朱妙艺[2] 朱富军 葛慧[1] 赵君[1] 黄振平[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京210098 [2]福建省水利水电勘测设计研究院,福建福州350001 [3]河南省洛阳水文水资源勘测局,河南洛阳471000

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2012年第6期9-12,73,共5页Water Resources and Power

摘　　要：针对目前国内对降雨径流模型研究中存在的问题,介绍了降雨径流模型的原理与特点,以沙子岭流域为例对降雨径流模型实际应用效果进行分析,并用卡尔曼滤波方法对降雨径流模型的预报结果进行了实时校正。研究表明,该模型预报效果较好,经卡尔曼滤波后预报效果明显改善。Based on the problems of rainfall-runoff model at present,this paper describes the principle and characteristics of rainfall-runoff model.And it analyzes the application effect of rainfall-runoff model by taking Shaziling basin for an example.Then Kalman filtering method is used to correct prediction results of rainfall-runoff model.The results show that the proposed model has good prediction effect and the forecasting effect is obviously improved after Kalman filtering correction.

关 键 词：沙子岭流域 洪水预报 降雨径流模型 新安江模型 卡尔曼滤波 

分 类 号：TV124[水利工程—水文学及水资源]