宁县典型测井地下水埋深的灰色预测研究  

GREY PREDICTION OF WATER DEPTH BY A TYPICAL WATER LOGGING IN NINGXIAN COUNTY

作　　者：王涛[1] 刘雷[1] 

机构地区：[1]长安大学,西安710054

出　　处：《陕西地质》2012年第1期60-64,共5页Geology of Shaanxi

摘　　要：采用灰色系统理论中灰色动态模型GM(1,1),对一观测孔地下水位埋深进行灰色动态模拟。利用观测孔2011年实测地下水位埋深数据建立GM(1,1)预测模型,并对2012年地下水位埋深进行预测。经验证,模型预测精度较高,具有一定的实用价值。Grey dynamic simulation is achieved for ground water depth in one monitoring water well by means of the grey dynamic model （ GM 1, 1 ） of the grey systematic theory. Based on the predic- tion model （GM 1, 1 ） that was created by the data from measured underground water depth in a monitoring water well in 2011, a prediction model has been reached for underground water depth in 2012. Verification of the prediction model has indicated that it has a higher precision and is signifi- cant in practice.

关 键 词：地下水埋深预测 灰色GM(1 1)模型 灰色动态模拟 

分 类 号：R641.7[医药卫生—外科学]