电力市场需求叠加预测模型分析  

Analysis on Superimposed Prediction Model of Electricity Market Demand

作　　者：黄元生[1] 王玉玮[1] 盖姝[1] 范玉凤[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,河北保定071003

出　　处：《山东电力高等专科学校学报》2012年第3期14-16,共3页Journal of Shandong Electric Power College

摘　　要：本文运用叠加原理综合分析了电力需求变化的渐进性与周期性两大特点,进而引申出一种更加科学合理的组合式预测技术来解决短期电力需求预测的实际问题,为电力交易提供了有力的依据与指导,从而进一步提高了我国电力市场的运转效率。This paper analyzes two characteristics of changes in electricity demand based on the principle of superposition, and than puts forwards a modular trend extrapolation tech- nique to forecast electricity demand. In electricity trading, this technology provides a strong basis and guidance, and can improve the operational efficiency of the electricity market in China further.

关 键 词：叠加原理 二次平滑法 电力需求 

分 类 号：TM732[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]