浙江省林业产业结构现状以及变化趋势分析  

Status Quo of Forestry Industrial Structure in Zhejiang and Analysis of It′s Trends

作　　者：肖利容[1] 杨校生[1] 王斌[1] 格日乐图[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国林业科学研究院亚热带林业研究所,浙江富阳311400

出　　处：《湖南农业科学》2012年第7期114-116,共3页Hunan Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：浙江省林业厅与中国林业科学研究院合作项目(2008SY09);中国林科院亚热带林业研究所基本科研业务费资助重点项目(RISF6152)

摘　　要：应用比较分析法、产业结构变动度指标、动态灰色关联度法以及GM(1,1)模型研究浙江林业产业结构现状及变化趋势。结果表明:1998年以后,第二产业成为浙江林业主导产业;2011～2015年间,林业第三产业比重会不断上升,但不可能成为浙江主导产业。目前,浙江省林业产业结构比全国林业产业结构合理,但落后于浙江国民经济产业结构。为了优化浙江省林业产业结构,应重点发展第三产业。The status quo of forestry industrial structure in Zhejiang was analyzed by means of comparison, variation degree of industrial structure, dynamic gray relation grade and the model of GM（1,1）. The results showed that since 1998 the secondary industry of forestry had become dominant in Zhejiang, and the tertiary industry would develop from 2011 to 2015 and wouldn＇t be the primary industry. Compared with Chinese forestry industrial structure and the industrial structure of national economy in Zhejiang, the forestry industrial structure was more reasonable than the former, but lagged behind the latter. Therefore, in order to optimize forestry industrial structure in Zhejiang, the tertiary industry should be prioritized.

关 键 词：浙江 林业 产业结构变动度 灰色关联度 GM(1 1)模型 

分 类 号：S750[农业科学—森林经理学]