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作 者:黄哲宙[1] 陈万青[2] 吴春晓[1] 郑荣寿[2] 陈建国[3] 程兰萍[4] 王宁 张思维[2] 郑莹[1]
机构地区:[1]上海市疾病预防控制中心肿瘤防治科,上海200336 [2]中国医学科学院肿瘤医院肿瘤研究所全国肿瘤防治研究办公室,北京100021 [3]启东市肝癌防治研究所,江苏启东226200 [4]林州市肿瘤医院,河南林州456550 [5]北京市肿瘤防治研究所,北京100142
出 处:《肿瘤》2012年第8期605-608,共4页Tumor
基 金:财政部;卫生部公共卫生专项资金肿瘤随访登记资助项目[编号:财社(2008)293号;财社(2009)193号;财社(2010)90号]
摘 要:目的:分析1988-2007年北京、上海、林州和启东地区女性乳腺癌发病和死亡的时间趋势。方法:收集北京、上海、林州和启东4个历史资料比较完整的肿瘤登记处1988-2007年女性乳腺癌发病、死亡和相应的人口数据,进行数据汇总和时间趋势分析。结果:1988-2007年北京、上海、林州和启东地区女性乳腺癌标化发病率(采用1982年中国标准人口构成计算)年平均增长百分比分别为2.49%、2.55%、7.04%和4.16%;标化死亡率年平均增长百分比除林州增长4.10%外,北京、上海和启东地区的变化差异不显著。结论:1988-2007年,北京和上海这2个城市与林州和启东这2个农村地区相比,女性乳腺癌发病率和死亡率变化显著;4个地区的女性乳腺癌发病率均呈明显上升趋势,农村地区上升更快;林州地区女性乳腺癌死亡率有上升趋势,其他3个地区的女性乳腺癌死亡率均无明显变化。Objective:To analyze the trends of female breast cancer incidence and mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, Linzhou and Qidong in China between 1988 and 2007. Methods:The data of female breast cancer incidence and mortality and the data of corresponding population during 1988-2007 were collected from four eligible cancer registries which could provide complete sets of historical data. The pooled analysis and time-trend analysis of the data were performed. Results:During 1988-2007, the APCs (annual percent changes) of age-standardized incidence rates (by China’s population in 1982) of female breast cancer in Beijing, Shanghai, Linzhou and Qidong were 2.49%, 2.55%, 7.04% and 4.16%, respectively. Although the average annual growth of APC of age-standardized mortality was 4.10% in Linzhou, there were no significant changes in Beijing, Shanghai and Qidong. Conclusion:During 1988-2007, the breast cancer incidence and mortality of the urban women in Beijing and Shanghai were significantly higher than those of the rural women in Linzhou and Qidong. The incidence rate of female breast cancer in these four areas showed an obvious rising trend, and this increase was more significant in rural areas. The mortality rate of female breast cancer in Linzhou also showed a rising trend, but the mortality rates in the other three areas remained steady.
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