成都市城乡收入差距与经济增长的VAR模型  

VAR Model of Economic Growth and Urban-Rural Income Gap in Chengdu City

作　　者：王沁[1] 曹灿[2] 刘曦[1] 江松明[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学数学学院,四川成都610031 [2]吉首大学数学与统计学院,湖南吉首416000

出　　处：《吉首大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第4期115-119,共5页Journal of Jishou University(Natural Sciences Edition)

基　　金：2012年成都哲学社会科学规划研究项目(ZSR12-07)

摘　　要：以成都市城镇居民消费水平与农村居民消费水平的比例作为城乡收入差距衡量指标,以按第三产业分的人均地区生产总值衡量经济增长,通过建立VAR模型、协整分析和Granger因果检验,从消费水平的角度估计经济增长与城乡收入差距的关系.成都市第三产业的发展对城乡收入差距的牵动作用十分显著,政府通过发展战略与增长方式的调整,对通货膨胀进行严格控制,推进现代农业建设,有可能使城乡收入差距缩小与经济增长和谐一致.The consumption ratio of urban residents and rural residents in Chengdu is used as a measuring index of the urban-rural income gap. The per capita GDP of the tertiary industry in Chengdu is used as a measuring index of the economic growth. Through the establishment of the VAR model, co-integration a- nalysis and Granger causal inspection, the relationship between urban-rural income gap and economic growth of Chengdu is shown and analyzed from the perspective of the consumption level. The results show that the effect of the development of tertiary industry on the urban-rural income gap is very signifi- cant in Chengdu. Through adjusting the development strategy and growth mode, strictly controlling infla- tion and promoting the modern agriculture construction, the urban-rural income gap will be narrowed and the economic growth will be harmonious.

关 键 词：城乡收入差距 经济增长 VAR模型 协整分析 GRANGER因果检验 

分 类 号：F291.3[经济管理—国民经济]