城市道路交通对汽车产业的影响  

The Influence of Urban Road Traffic on Vehicle Industry

作　　者：赵文杰[1] 张代胜[1] 姜俊昭[1] 

机构地区：[1]合肥工业大学机械与汽车工程学院,合肥230009

出　　处：《汽车科技》2012年第5期1-5,共5页Auto Sci-Tech

摘　　要：近年来随着城市道路交通的发展,汽车产业在中国飞速发展,取得了辉煌的成就。汽车产业与城市道路交通之间有着密切的关系,城市道路交通的完善对汽车产业具有巨大的促进作用。本文以每年的汽车总销量为因变量,以城市道路长度和城市道路面积为主要自变量,通过建立线性回归模型来分析城市道路交通对汽车产业的影响,并对未来汽车产业的发展作出有根据的预测,为企业和政府制定汽车产业发展计划提供了一定的依据。With the development of urban road traffic, Chinese vehicle industry is expanding in recent years, which has got splendent achievement. There is a intimate relationship between urban road traffic and vehicle industry, and the improvement of urban road traffic has a positive effect on vehicle industry. By making annual vehicle marketing amount as dependent variable with urban road length and urban road area taken as main independent variables ,the paper analyses the influence of urban road traffic on vehicle industry by estabishing the linear regreesion model and does reasonable forecast on the development of future vehicle industry,which provides a certain basis of formulating vehicle industry for vehicle enterprise and government.

关 键 词：道路交通 汽车产业 线性回归 预测 

分 类 号：F512.1[经济管理—产业经济]