基于共有分量分解的速射火炮毁伤概率计算模型  

Damage Probability Calculation Model of Rapid-fire Gun Based on Common Component Decomposition

作　　者：陶德进[1] 史慧敏[2] 王军[1] 薄煜明[1] 郭治[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学自动化学院,江苏南京210094 [2]白城兵器试验中心,吉林白城137001

出　　处：《兵工学报》2012年第11期1358-1363,共6页Acta Armamentarii

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(61104197);国防重点实验室基金项目(9140C300602080C30);南京理工大学自主科研专项基金项目(2010ZYTS050)

摘　　要：对速射火炮,将平稳正态的射击误差序列分解为共有分量和非共有分量,将共有分量进一步分解为预测值和预测误差;基于上述分解,给出了确定的强相关误差和弱相关误差初值下射击过程的平均毁伤概率表达式;在上述初值未确定时,给出了武器系统毁伤概率的表达式;与包括国军标在内的现行毁伤概率计算模型相比,文中给出模型更准确。For rapid-fire guns, the stationary normal shooting error sequence was decomposed as common and uncommon components; furthermore, the common component was decomposed as prediction value and prediction error. Based on the above decomposition, the expression of mean damage probability was proposed for the shooting process in certain initial values with strong and weak correlation errors; then the expression of damage probability of the weapon systems was given for uncertain initial values. Compared to the current damage probability calculation models including those listed in the national military stand- ards, the model given is more accurate.

关 键 词：概率论 速射火炮 毁伤概率 误差分解 

分 类 号：TJ35[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]