先进制造模式竞争扩散模型的参数分析及辨识  

Parameter Analysis and Parameter Identification of the Competition Diffusion Model of Advanced Manufacturing Modes

作　　者：刘俊娟[1] 薛朝改[1] 曹海旺[2] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学管理工程系,河南郑州450001 [2]郑州航空工业管理学院电子通信工程系,河南郑州450015

出　　处：《工业工程与管理》2012年第5期46-51,59,共7页Industrial Engineering and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70901066;70971119);2011年"郑州大学研究生科学研究基金"资助项目(11L01402)

摘　　要：研究了先进制造模式的竞争扩散模型及其参数的分析和辨识问题。首先,在先进制造模式扩散机制的基础上,建立了先进制造模式的竞争扩散模型。然后,分析了模型中的参数对扩散过程的影响,得出相关的结论。最后,提出了基于遗传算法的竞争扩散模型的参数辨识方法,得到模型中参数的最优值,并说明了模型的应用。该研究揭示了先进制造模式的扩散规律,为准确预测先进制造模式未来的实施情况奠定了基础,为政府制定调控政策提供了理论依据。This paper deals with the competition diffusion model of advanced manufacturing modes and parameter analysis and parameter identification of this model. First, the competition diffusion model of advanced manufacturing modes is established based on the analysis of the diffusion mechanism. Second, the influence of parameters on the diffusion process is analyzed in this model, and the related results are given. Finally, combined with the specific case, the parameter identification method of competition diffusion model based on genetic algorithm is proposed,then,the optimal values of parameters in the model are obtained and the application of this model is explained. This research disclosed the diffusion rules of the advanced manufacturing modes, and lays a foundation for accurately predicting the implementation of advanced manufacturing modes in the future,and provided the basis for government regulation.

关 键 词：先进制造模式 竞争扩散 参数辨识 遗传算法 

分 类 号：N945.14[自然科学总论—系统科学]