改良德尔菲法在学校卫生标准制定中的应用  

Modified Delphi method in the constitution of school sanitation standard

作　　者：尹逊强[1] 梁颖[2] 谭红专[1] 龚雯洁[1] 邓静[1] 罗家有[1] 狄晓康[1] 武越[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学公共卫生学院,长沙410078 [2]新疆医科大学公共卫生学院,乌鲁木齐830054

出　　处：《中南大学学报（医学版）》2012年第11期1104-1107,共4页Journal of Central South University ：Medical Science

基　　金：卫生部卫生标准制定项目(20080282-Q-361)~~

摘　　要：目的:利用改良德尔菲法制定学校卫生标准,探讨该法在卫生标准制定中的可行性及优势。方法:通过两轮专家咨询,收集专家意见,利用SPSS15.0进行数据统计与分析,筛选学校卫生标准的指标。结果:共有32名专家完成了两轮咨询,专家工作年限为(24.69±8.53)年,专家的权威系数为0.729±0.172;前后两轮的专家积极系数分别为94.12%和100%,第2轮咨询中各指标必要性、可行性、合理性的协调系数分别为0.493(P<0.05),0.527(P<0.01),0.535(P<0.01),说明专家的认识已趋于一致;依据第2轮咨询结果,按照预定的纳入标准,最终有38项三级指标进入学生宿舍卫生标准框架。结论:学校卫生标准的制定除了目前常用的理论分析、文献查阅、现场调查等方法外,德尔菲法不失为一种快速、有效、可行的方法。Objective： To constitute school sanitation standard using modified Delphi method, and to explore the feasibility and the predominance of Delphi method in the constitution of school sanitation standard. Methods： Two rounds of expert consultations were adopted in this study. The data were analyzed with SPSS 15.0 to screen indices of school sanitation standard. Results： Thirty-two experts accomplished the 2 rounds of consultations. The average length of expert service was （24.69＋8.$3） years. The authority coefficient was 0.729~0.172. The expert positive coefficient was 94.12% （32/34） in the first round and 100% （32/32） in the second round. The harmonious coefficients of importance, feasibility and rationality in the second round were 0.493 （P〈0.05）, 0.527 （P〈0.01）, and O.S3S （P〈0.01）, respectively, suggesting unanimous expert opinions. According to the second round of consultation, 38 indices were included in the framework. Conclusion： The oretical analysis, literature review, investigation and so on are generally used in healthstandard constitution currentl）n Delphi method is a rapid, effective and feasible method in this field.

关 键 词：卫生标准 改良德尔菲法 学生宿舍 

分 类 号：G478[文化科学—教育学]