贸易增长、FDI流入和地区碳排放关联性的PVAR模型分析  

Analysis on the Growth of Trade,FDI Inflows and Regional Carbon Emissions based on PVAR Model

作　　者：姬世东[1] 吴昊[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学,长春130012

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2012年第11期118-123,共6页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

摘　　要：在中国的碳排放问题上,对外贸易和FDI分别扮演了什么角色,是增加还是抑制了中国的碳排放呢?本文采用面板向量自回归模型(PVAR)分析中国各个区域的碳排放量与对外贸易、外商直接投资之间的动态关联性。实证结果表明FDI的流入对于区域碳排放是具有一定的抑制作用的,也就是说FDI的"污染天堂"(Pollution Heaven)假说在中国并不成立。FDI流入在一定程度上有利于我国碳排放问题的改善。对外贸易在一定程度上恶化了我国碳排放问题。In China＇s carbon emissicm problem, what role the foreign trade and FDI were playing, increasing or inhibiting？ In this paper, we use panel vector auto- regression model （PVAR） to analysis the dynamic relationship of China＇s carbon emissions, foreign trade and foreign direct investment. Empirical results show that FDI inflows have certain inhibitory effect in the region＇s carbon emism＇ons, in other words, the pollution heaven hypothesis does not work in China. The FDI inflows help to improve China＇s cad3on emissions in some extent. But the foreign trade exacerbated the problem of Chive＇s carbon emissions.

关 键 词：对外贸易 FDI 碳排放 PVAR 

分 类 号：F270.3[经济管理—企业管理]