贸易开放的碳排放效应--基于省际动态面板数据的分析  

The Carbon Emissions Effect of Trade Openness: A Dynamic Panel Analysis

作　　者：谷祖莎[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学(威海)商学院 [2]山东大学经济学院

出　　处：《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第6期60-65,共6页Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划研究项目“自由贸易的环境效应研究”(10CJGJ08)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：根据29个省份①19902010年的年度数据,采用动态面板模型对全国及三大区域的贸易开放的碳排放②效应进行验证。结果表明:从全国范围看,外贸依存度对碳排放具有显著的正效应,而外资依存度对碳排放具有负效应,但并不显著。东部地区外贸依存度与外资依存度对碳排放都具有负效应,但前者在统计上并不显著;中部地区外贸依存度对碳排放具有显著正效应,而外资依存度对碳排放具有显著负效应;西部地区外贸依存度和外资依存度与碳排放都具有正效应,但在统计上都不显著。This paper employs annual data of 29 provinces over 1990-2010 to test the carbon emissions effect of trade openness in China and its three major regions. It is found that foreign trade has a significant positive impact on carbon dioxide emissions for the country as a whole and FDI dependency has an insignificant negative impact on carbon emissions. Both foreign trade and FDI have a negative impact on carbon emissions in the costal eastern re- gion, but the impact of trade is statistically insignificant. For the central inland region, foreign trade is positively correlated with carbon dioxide emissions and FDI negatively correlated with carbon dioxide emissions, both being statistically significant. For western inland region, foreign trade and FDI are both positive in their effects on carbon emissions, but neither is statistically significant.

关 键 词：碳排放效应 二氧化碳排放 贸易开放 环境库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] X196[经济管理—产业经济] F224[环境科学与工程—环境科学]