我国南海沿海台风风暴潮灾害分析及减灾对策  

Analysis of typhoon storm surge disasters along the south China coast and disaster prevention measures

作　　者：甘申东[1,2] 章卫胜[1,2] 宗虎城[1,2] 张金善[1,2] 林瑞栋 

机构地区：[1]南京水利科学研究院,江苏南京210029 [2]水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏南京210029 [3]宁波港镇海港埠公司,浙江宁波315000

出　　处：《水利水运工程学报》2012年第6期51-58,共8页Hydro-Science and Engineering

基　　金：水利部公益性行业科研专项经费资助项目"气候变化对我国水安全影响及对策研究"(200801001);"中国海堤风险区划及风暴潮包络图谱研究"(200901061)

摘　　要：系统总结了我国南海沿海台风风暴潮的生成特点、灾害损失发生规律、灾害特征、灾害成因及强度影响因素等.重点讨论1990—2009年间台风风暴潮的特点,指出近些年来南海沿海台风风暴潮发生频率及其强度均有增加的趋势,特大台风风暴潮发生的频率及损失强度也加大了.最后针对如何有效防御台风风暴潮灾害进行了探讨,以期为珠江三角洲以及海南等地区预防和抵御台风风暴潮灾害提供科学依据.Such aspects as formation characteristics, the cause of the disasters, the law of disaster loss, disaster intensity and impact factors of the typhoon storm surge are systematically summarized in this paper. Especially the characteristics of the typhoon storm surge-induced disasters from 1989--2009 are analyzed, and then it is pointed out that both the frequency and the intensity of the typhoon storm surge disasters have an increasing trend along the south China coast in recent years, so do those of the super typhoon storm surges. Finally, we discuss how to efficiently defend against the disasters caused by typhoon storm surges so as to give a basis for prevention and defense against the disasters induced by the typhoon storm surges in the Zhujiang River delta and Hainan Province, which often suffer great losses from typhoon storm surges.

关 键 词：台风风暴潮 致灾因子 成灾特点 灾害分析 防御对策 

分 类 号：P731.23[天文地球—海洋科学] X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]