供应链协同风险评价研究  

Study on Risk Evaluation of Supply Chain Collaboration

作　　者：温磊[1] 赵伟[1] 王锐[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,河北保定071003

出　　处：《物流技术》2013年第1期218-221,共4页Logistics Technology

基　　金：2010年教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"基于有向复杂网络的供应链风险传播模型研究"(10YJC630271)

摘　　要：为了使企业建立有效的供应链协同风险评价体系来客观、科学地对供应链协同风险进行评价,从而维持供应链上各节点企业高效协同运作。首先对供应链协同风险的概念和特点进行归纳,找到影响供应链协同风险的主要因素,对供应链协同风险进行识别,然后构建了供应链协同风险评价指标评价体系,提出了一种基于梯形模糊数相似度的协同风险评价分析方法,通过使用损失程度和发生概率这两组模糊语言描述对协同风险计算评价,最后用一个实例证明了该方法的有效性,为供应链协同风险评价提供了一种可行的方法,为供应链企业正确识别、评价和防范协同风险提供理论指导和方法借鉴。In this paper, In order to establish an effective supply chain collaboration risk evaluation system and sustain the highly effective col- laborative operation of the enterprises on the supply chain, we first summarized the concept and characteristics of supply chain collaboration risk, i-dentified the major influence factors well as the specific risks and then established a risk evaluation index system for them. Next we proposed an e-valuation and analytic method of the risks based on similarity degree of the trapezoidal fuzzy number and used the two fuzzy descriptive languages, namely degree of loss and probability of occurrence, to calculate and evaluate the risks and finally through an empirical example.demonstrated the effectiveness of the method as a theoretical and methodological reference in the correct recognition, evaluation and prevention of supply chain col-laboration risks.

关 键 词：供应链协同风险 模糊风险分析 梯形模糊数相似度 

分 类 号：F272.35[经济管理—企业管理] F274[经济管理—国民经济]