人均GDP、能源强度与碳排放的面板数据分析  

Panel Data Analysis on Relation between Per capita GDP, Energy Intensity and Carbon Emissions

作　　者：周纪昌[1] 

机构地区：[1]中原工学院系统与工业工程技术研究中心,河南郑州451191

出　　处：《环境科学与管理》2013年第2期165-167,共3页Environmental Science and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"基于云模型的环境经济系统仿真与预警管理研究"(71173248);国家社科基金"我国农村水污染受害者社会救助机制及对策研究"(编号:08CSH018);河南省科技厅软科学基金(122400420045)阶段性成果

摘　　要：利用2000年-2009年中国各省市的面板数据,考察了人均GDP与能源强度对碳排放的影响。在单位根检验的基础上,对这三个变量进行了协整关系检验,实证结果显示,三个变量间存在长期的均衡关系,并以碳排放为被解释变量,能源强度和人均GDP分别作为解释变量进行回归分析。能源强度和人均财富的提高都会增加二氧化碳的排放量。Based on panel data of each province during 2000 - 2009, this study investigates the effect of per capita GDP and energy intensity on carbon emission. Based on the unit root test, three variables were examined by using the co - integration test. The empirical results indicate that the three variables have long - term equilibrium relationship. In regression analysis, the carbon emissions were taken as the target variable, while energy intensity and per capita GDP are the explanatory variables. The research shows that both energy intensity and improvement of per capita wealth will increase the amount of carbon dioxide emissions.

关 键 词：碳排放 能源强度 GDP 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]