基于协整理论的怀化区域物流需求分析  

Research on Logistics Demand in Huaihua Based on Co-integration Analysis

作　　者：王德华[1] 

机构地区：[1]怀化学院工商管理系,湖南怀化418008

出　　处：《怀化学院学报》2012年第4期59-61,共3页Journal of Huaihua University

基　　金：怀化学院基金项目"怀化地区物流发展与经济增长的关系研究";项目编号:HHUY2010-28

摘　　要：借助怀化区域发展的时间序列数据,分析了影响区域物流需求的因素,构建相应的回归模型,运用协整理论,对该区域物流需求情况进行了分析。结果表明该区域的第一产业、第二产业和全社会消费状况三个因素与物流业发展之间存在长期的均衡关系,这三种因素对物流业发展有明显的正向推动作用。In the paper,the modern econometric co-integration analysis and Granger causality test were used to make a study on impact of regional logistics demand factors based on the data of Huaihua.The results show that they had long-term and balanced relations between the development of the Primary Industry,the second industry and the whole society consumption and the three factors have a stimulatory effect on the development of the Logistics.

关 键 词：物流需求 影响因素 协整分析 

分 类 号：F50[经济管理—产业经济]