导弹武器系统可用度波动不确定性的仿真分析及最优控制  

Availability Variation Uncertainty Analysis and Optimal Control of Missile Weapon System

作　　者：杨继坤[1] 徐廷学[1] 董琪[1] 赵亮[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院 [2]91604部队

出　　处：《科学技术与工程》2013年第6期1453-1461,共9页Science Technology and Engineering

摘　　要：阐述了新装备使用初期瞬时可用度波动的存在,并以此为需求牵引,构建了导弹武器系统可用度评估模型。以建模和仿真的一体化框架为基础,实现了仿真软件系统。分析了波动的产生机理,提出了最小可用度振幅和最小可用度发生时间等刻画波动的函数;并对波动的不确定性进行了仿真分析。在此基础上,应用粒子群优化算法解决了波动的最优控制问题。通过实例分析,验证了模型和算法的有效性。实验与应用结果表明,该方法能有效抑制可用度波动的产生,为武器系统可用性研究提供了一条新的思路。was proposed. Truly existing of instantaneous availability variation of new equipment in its early stage of application The availability assessment model of missile weapon system was established. And based on modeling and simulation framework, the software system was realized. The variation formation reason and description method were put forward, which included minimal availability amplitude and minimal availability happen time. Using those quota, the availability variation uncertainty was be analyzed. Finally, the particle swarm optimization algorithm was proposed to solve the problem of optimal control, and its effectiveness was verified through example. The results of the experiment show that the optimization algorithm can restrain this variation actively, and provides an effective means for the availability research.

关 键 词：瞬时可用度 波动 导弹武器系统 最优控制 

分 类 号：TJ760.1[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]