绘制“东突”恐怖主义网络  

Mapping ＂East Turkistan＂ Terrorism Network in China

作　　者：李本先[1] 李孟军[1] 孙多勇[1] 迟妍[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科学技术大学信息系统与管理学院,长沙410073

出　　处：《情报学报》2013年第2期171-189,共19页Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information

基　　金：项目资助：国家自然科学基金“恐怖组织的社会网络模型构建与抗毁性研究（项目号：70973138）”、国家自然科学基金“公共突发事件下非友好人群行为的仿真研究（项目号：71103195）.

摘　　要：中国的恐怖主义威胁主要来源于国内外的“东突”恐怖组织，这一组织具有特殊的历史根源。本文主要从其犯罪历史、攻击方法及行动方面出发，构建了其网络拓扑结构模型，描述了行动、成员特性，分析了其网络结构特征。分析结果揭示：“东突”恐怖组织的受到多种因素的影响，如地理位置、网络边界等。研究发现“东突”恐怖组织的网络结构是一个树形结构，其表现为没有环，并且具有等级结构。最后，我们根据“东突”恐怖组织未来的演化趋势，提出了一些谨慎的对策与建议。The terrorist threats that China faces come mainly from the ＂ East Turkistan＂ terrorist forces inside and outside the Chinese territory. The ＂East Turkistan＂ terrorist organization has its specific historical origin. This paper aims at analyzing the network characteristics of the ＂ East Turkistan＂ terrorist organization. By analyzing its criminal history including the selection, methods of attack and modus operandi, a crime ontology is created, leading to the presentation of a terrorist network. The activities, general profile of the members, and the major structural characteristics of these networks are described. The analysis reveals that the ＂ East Turkistan＂ terrorist organization was affected by factors such as geographical origins and the borders of the network. It is discovered that the organization network distributed into a simple tree structure： it has no cycles and hierarchical characteristics. Ultimately, we prove some modest policy implications according to the future evolution of the ＂East Turkistan＂ terrorist.

关 键 词：“东突” 网络结构等级性社会网络分析 

分 类 号：D631[政治法律—政治学]