中国人口自然变动对高考报名人数的影响  

Influence on the number of applicants for Chinese College Entrance Examination by the natural change of China’s population

作　　者：赵勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京市社会科学院<城市问题>编辑部

出　　处：《城市问题》2013年第3期51-59,共9页Urban Problems

摘　　要：从中国人口自然变动的事实出发,探讨了人口出生数以及中小学生在校生数的变化对高考报名人数的影响。结果发现,中国人口自然变动对高考报名人数具有重要影响。中国1999-2008年高考报名人数的持续快速增长缘于1979-1987年中国人口的生育高峰,但随着此波生育高峰的过去、出生人口数的持续减少,高考报名人数在总量上也将逐渐缩小。基于此,认为高校应未雨绸缪,做好生源数量减少的应对准备;政府也应调整人口政策,适当提高生育率,以为未来增加高素质劳动人口打下基础。Starting from the point of the natural change of China＇ s population, this essay discusses the significant influ- ence on the number of applicants for Chinese College Entrance Examination by the changes of birth numbers and student＇ s numbers at different - level educations. The results show that the natural change of China＇ s population has significant influ- ence on the number of applicants for Chinese College Entrance Examination. The rapid increasing of the number of applicants for Chinese College Entrance Examination in 1999 -2008 results from the birth peak of 1979 - 1987. And with the constant decli- ning of China＇ s fertility, China＇ s new births will constantly re- duce and the number of applicants for Chinese College Entrance Examination will as well reduce in the total. In the end, this es- say points out that Chinese colleges should prepare for the reduc- tion of applicant students and at the same time China should ac- tively adjust population policy to improve properly fertility for the preparation of increasing high - quality labors.

关 键 词：人口自然变动 出生人口 高考报名人数 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学] G521[文化科学—教育学]