基于B.P.R模型的综合交通枢纽客运换乘量预测  

Forecast of passenger transfer volume in comprehensive transport hub based on B.P.R model

作　　者：杨明[1] 罗辉[1] 唐攀[1] 

机构地区：[1]长沙理工大学交通运输工程学院,湖南长沙410004

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2013年第2期98-100,103,共4页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

摘　　要：在对比研究各种换乘量预测模型的基础上,针对其流量分布与交通规划"四阶段法"中的交通分布预测在原理及结果表达方面的相似之处,引入B.P.R模型,并结合层次分析法,弥补重力模型在标定阻抗函数方面的一些不足。将二者结合运用到对东直门交通枢纽的研究中,收到良好效果,能够比较准确地对枢纽内各种交通方式的换乘量进行预测。Based on the comparative study of various transfer volume forecast models, because of which the volume distribution and transportation planning are similiar to the theories and expression of results of ＂four steps forecast method＂, the B. P. R model is introduced. Combined with analytic hierarchy process, some deficiencies of impedance function calibration in Gravity Model are made up. Combined with the two applied to the study of Dongzhimen traffic hub, this model proves that it can accurately predict the transfer capacity of various modes in transport hub.

关 键 词：综合客运枢纽 B P R模型 层次分析法 换乘量预测 

分 类 号：U14[交通运输工程]