中欧双边货物贸易自然资本的生态足迹分析——基于产品用地系数矩阵(PLUM)方法  

A Footprint Analysis on the Natural Capital Embodied in the Goods of China-EU Bilateral Trade: Based on Product Land Use Matrix(PLUM) Approach

作　　者：李昭华[1] 李璇[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2013年第3期59-72,共14页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目;华中科技大学2011年自主创新研究基金项目"我国货物进出口贸易自然资本流向研究"(批准号2011WB005)

摘　　要：本文以生态足迹(EF)为自然资本的测度,采用产品用地系数矩阵(PLUM)方法测算2000-2010年中国与欧盟货物贸易的全部商品的EF,分析中国的收汇EF成本、付汇EF收益、EF贸易条件和EF产业分布,并通过结构分解考察中国对欧盟贸易EF变化的影响因素。结果显示:(1)中国进出口贸易所获得的货币资本利益以生态资源的流出和环境污染加剧为代价。(2)中国的碳汇用地EF贸易条件改善,但实际用地EF贸易条件恶化。(3)中国第一产业的收汇EF成本逐年上升,第一产业和第二产业的付汇EF收益均在逐年下降。(4)净出口产品结构对中国向欧盟净出口货物贸易占用实际用地的作用呈现波动状况,对占用碳汇用地在总体上呈现抑制作用;净出口贸易依存度对净出口占用实际用地与碳汇用地呈现促进作用,且对后者的促进效应大于前者;国内经济水平对净出口占用的实际用地,在总体上呈现抑制作用,而对碳汇用地呈现促进作用,且对后者的影响程度更大。This study calculates the natural capital, measured in ecological footprint （EF） and by product land use matrix （PLUM） approach, embodied in the goods of China-EU bilateral trade during the years of 2001 to 2010, and it analyzes EF cost for inward currency, EF benefit for outward currency, terms of trade of EF （TTEF） and the industrial distribution of the EF. Finally, the study investigates the factors affecting the variation of the EF appropriated in Sino-EU bilateral trade of goods with structural decomposition analysis （SDA） . The re- sults show： （1） the benefit of monetary capital that China obtains in the bilater- al trade is at the expense of ecological resources outflow and increasing environ- mental pollution; and （2） China＇s terms of trade of EF （TTEF） for actual land gets better off, however, TTEF for carbon sink land gets worse off; and （3） the EF cost for inward currency in China＇s primary industry keeps increasing, but the EF benefit for outward currency in China＇s primary and secondary industry keeps decreasing; and （4） net export product structure inhibits China＇s export of appropriated carbon sink land in general, while its impact on that of appropriated actual land fluctuates; net export dependency promotes both China＇s export of ap- propriated actual and carbon sink land and to the latter the promote effect is greater than the former; the domestic economic level inhibits China＇s export of appropriated actual land, but promotes that of appropriated carbon sink land in general, and to the latter the effect is greater.

关 键 词：中欧双边贸易 自然资本 生态足迹 PLUM 收汇EF成本 付汇EF收益 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]