基于WRF模式的山西省风电功率短期预报系统  

Wind Power Short-term Forecast System in Shanxi Province Based on WRF Model

作　　者：王大勇[1] 武永利[1] 安炜[1] 刘文平[1] 

机构地区：[1]山西省气候中心,山西太原030006

出　　处：《科技情报开发与经济》2013年第4期132-133,151,共3页Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy

摘　　要：风电具有很大的随机性、间歇性和不可控性,大容量的风电接入电网将会对电力系统安全、稳定运行带来严峻的挑战,若能对风电场的风场进行短期预报,将是解决这一问题的有效途径。利用中尺度数值模式与风电功率统计预报模型,构建了山西省风电功率短期预报系统。通过模拟发现,预报的发电量与实际电量的一致性和相关性较好,可以满足风电场风电功率预报的服务要求。Wind power is intermittent, randomness and non-controllable, the large capacity of wind power connecting to power grid will bring serious challenges to security and stable operation of power system.Short-term forecasting of the wind field in wind power farm is an effective way to solve this problem.Based on the mesoscale model and wind power statistic forecast model, the wind power short-term forecast system in Shanxi Province is constructed.The simulation results show that the consistency and correlation of the simulated and observed results are better, which can requirement for wind power forecast service.

关 键 词：WRF模式 风电功率 短期预报系统 山西省 

分 类 号：TM614[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]