非常规突发事件个体决策行为影响因素研究  

Study on the Influential Factors of Individual Decision-making Behavior of Unconventional Emergency

作　　者：刘嘉[1] 谢科范[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学管理学院,武汉430070

出　　处：《软科学》2013年第3期50-54,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(90924010)

摘　　要：构建基于系统动力学的非常规突发事件个体决策行为影响模型,并通过实证分析验证了该模型。结果表明:随着决策过程的进行,各情景的决策误差度会逐步降低;各情景的决策时间渐渐缩短。This paper builds up a model of the decision - making behavior of unconventional emergency based on system dy- namic method. Then it takes an empirical analysis to simulate the decision - making behavior of the decision makers. The result shows that the decision - making errors in various scenarios would gradually reduce, the decision - making time of each scenario would gradually shorten and the decision - making radical degree of risk would rise with the unconventional emergency decision - making progress being carried out.

关 键 词：非常规突发事件 决策行为 系统动力学 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]