智能环灾应急决策支持技术研究  

Research on Technique for Intelligent Environmental Disaster Decision Support

作　　者：蒋浩[1] 荆玲[1] 武港山[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学计算机科学与技术系,江苏南京210046

出　　处：《计算机技术与发展》2013年第4期6-10,共5页Computer Technology and Development

基　　金：国家高技术研究发展计划(2007AA06A402;2012AA063304)

摘　　要：针对目前环灾应急决策系统中预案信息化程度低、动态应急能力不足的问题,文中在数字化预案的基础上,提出了一套基于案例推理(CBR)和基于规则推理(RBR)相结合的智能辅助决策机制。鉴于环灾应急事件的复杂性,许多应急处置方案都是基于过去的经验,而且应急过程中又随时有可能出现新的应急目标,文中采用了以CBR方法为主,RBR方法为辅的CR智能辅助决策方法。这种方法能更有效地实现复杂环灾应急的辅助决策需要,最后通过某化工园应急决策实例展示了文中所讨论的方法的过程。In view of the problems of low level of informationization and lack of flexibility to change situations in current environmental disaster decision support system,proposed one solution based on plan digitalization combining case-based reasoning and rule-based reasoning to help with decision making in environmental disaster. In the area of environmental disaster decision, many of the disposal concepts are based on past experience and new targets may occur anytime during the emergency. Therefore,use CBR as major and RBR as auxiliary in the approach. In this way,the decision can be made in a more efficient way. In the end,use an example for one chemical industrial park to demonstrate the process of this approach.

关 键 词：基于案例推理 基于规则推理 智能决策支持 环灾应急 

分 类 号：TP31[自动化与计算机技术—计算机软件与理论]