冲击地压危险性综合评价的突变级数法研究  

Catastrophe progression method on comprehensive evaluation of rock burst

作　　者：金佩剑[1] 王恩元[1] 刘晓斐[1] 黄宁[2] 王嗣衡[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学安全工程学院,煤炭资源与安全开采国家重点实验室,江苏徐州221116 [2]辽宁工程技术大学矿业学院,辽宁阜新123000

出　　处：《采矿与安全工程学报》2013年第2期256-261,共6页Journal of Mining & Safety Engineering

基　　金：煤炭资源与安全开采国家重点实验室自主研究课题项目(SKLCRSM09X01);国家自然科学基金项目(40874070,40904028);国际科技合作项目(2008DFB70100)

摘　　要：基于突变理论和模糊数学相结合的突变级数法,提出了冲击地压危险性评价的新指标—突变级数;通过综合考虑冲击地压危险性影响因素,建立了新的冲击地压危险性评价模型;在对各影响要素进行了无量纲化和归一化处理的基础上,利用煤矿现场数据对模型进行了样本学习,确定了不同冲击危险等级的突变级数,并结合已有数据对模型进行了验证。将评价模型应用于工程实例,并与其它主要评价方法比对,结果表明:该方法评判结果准确,精度较高,具有良好的实用价值。In this paper,based on the catastrophe progression method which combining the catastrophe theory and the fuzzy mathematics,a new catastrophe progression index to evaluate rock burst was proposed.Meanwhile,by comprehensive considering of the influence factors of rock burst risk,a new evaluation model of rock burst was built.In addition,after the nondimensionalization and normalization processing of the influencing factors,the sample learning on the model was conducted according to the field data in coal mine,the catastrophe progressions of different burst risk grades were ascertained,and the model was verified by using the existing data.Finally,the evaluation model was applied to engineering practice,and was compared with other evaluation methods.The results show that this method has accuracy evaluation results,high precision and good practical value.

关 键 词：冲击地压 突变理论 模糊数学 突变级数法 

分 类 号：TD712[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]