FDI对我国各地区经济增长的非线性效应分析  

The Non-linear Effects of FDI on Regional Economic Growth in China

作　　者：费宇[1] 王江[2] 

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学统计与数学学院 [2]云南红塔证券股份有限公司

出　　处：《统计研究》2013年第4期70-75,共6页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(11061036);云南省自然科学基金项目(2009ZC088M)的资助

摘　　要：本文运用面板平滑转换(PSTR)模型研究国外直接投资(FDI)对我国各地区经济增长的非线性效应。选取了FDI及影响FDI的市场规模、基础设施、产业结构等8个变量作为解释变量构建单因素和多因素PSTR模型。结果表明我国经济增长与FDI之间存在着平滑转换机制效应;FDI对经济增长的影响是非线性的;FDI是我国各地区经济增长的充分条件,但不是必要条件。The paper studies the non-linear effects of foreign direct investment （FDI） on regional economic growth in China based on panel smooth transition regression （PSTR） model. We select eight factors including FDI, market size, infrastructure and industrial structure etc. as independent variables to construct PSTR model. The research result shows that there is a nonlinear and smooth transition characteristic feature between FDI and China＇s economic growth, which explains reasonably the different economic effects of regions in China. FDI is the sufficient condition but not the necessary condition for the economic growth.

关 键 词：FDI 经济增长效应 非线性 面板平滑转换(PSTR)模型 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计]