基于“三年化疫”理论探讨痢疾发病与气候变化的关联性  

Based on the theory of 'transformation of plague in three years' to explore the correlation between incidence of dysentery and climate changes

作　　者：刘忠第[1] 张轩[1] 贺娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京中医药大学基础医学院,北京100029

出　　处：《中华中医药杂志》2013年第5期1427-1430,共4页China Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Pharmacy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(No.81072896)~~

摘　　要：目的:依据"三年化疫"理论研究北京市痢疾发病与3年前气候变化的关联性。方法:提取北京市1970年-2004年35年的痢疾高发年份,分析其3年前的气候变化特点,依据"三年化疫"理论对"异常气候—痢疾发病"进行吻合度评价。结果:痢疾的高发与3年前的异常气候变化有关,尤其是年干为戊、癸、辛的年份。结论:痢疾发病与3年前的气候变化具有相关性,"三年化疫"理论对于痢疾发病的预测具有一定指导意义。Objective： Based on the theory of ＇transformation of plague in three years＇, to investigate the relationship between the incidence of dysentery and climate changes three years ago. Methods： By extraction of 35 years of dysentery high-risk years in Beijing from 1970 to 2004, and analysis its climate change characteristics three years ago, to evaluate ＇the relationship of abnormal climate and dysentery disease＇ based on the theory of ＇transformation of plague in three years＇. Results： The high incidence of dysentery was related to the abnormal climate changes three years ago, especially in the Niangan years of wu, gui, xin. Conclusion： The incidence of dysentery was related to the climate changes three years ago, the theory of ＇transformation of plague in three years＇ could predict the dysentery disease.

关 键 词：痢疾 气象因子 三年化疫 运气学说 异常气候 

分 类 号：R226[医药卫生—中医基础理论]