技术进步、结构变动与制造业的二氧化碳排放强度  

Technology Progress,Structural Change and Carbon Dioxide intensity of manufacturing

作　　者：姚西龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]太原理工大学经济管理学院,山西太原030024

出　　处：《暨南学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第3期59-65,161-162,共7页Jinan Journal(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<基于适合度景观的企业技术管理能力对自主创新的作用机理研究>(批准号:71002061);国家自然科学基金项目<我国装备制造业技术管理与技术能力双螺旋发展模式与路径研究>(批准号:70972098)

摘　　要：为了测算技术进步、结构变动与制造业的二氧化碳排放强度的关系,利用改进的份额转换模型对制造业的二氧化碳排放强度的变动率进行了分解。研究结果表明:我国制造业二氧化碳排放强度下降的主要驱动因素是技术进步,年平均贡献率为88.146%,其中有色金属冶炼及压延加工业、黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业等行业的技术效应较大;行业结构效应也对制造业二氧化碳排放强度下降起到了积极的作用,年平均贡献率为6.414%,石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业、化学原料及化学制品制造业等行业的结构效应最为明显;能源结构对制造业二氧化碳排放强度下降的年贡献率为4.049%,其他效应对制造业二氧化碳排放强度的影响较小。Based on the method of factor decomposition,this paper decomposes change rate of carbon dioxide intensity of manufacturing to seven effects which contain technology progress,energy structure,industry structure and their interactional effects.The results show that technology progress effect was the main reason for decline of manufacturing' carbon dioxide intensity,its average annual contributing rate has been about 88.146%,in which smelting and pressing of non-ferrous metals and smelting and pressing of ferrous metals play a great role.On the whole,Industry structure effect played active roles in decline of manufacturing' carbon dioxide intensity,its average annual contributing rate has been about 6.414%,in which processing of petroleum,coking,processing of nuclear fuel and manufacture of raw chemical materials and chemical products have played remarkable roles in manufacturing' carbon dioxide intensity.The contributing rate of energy structure to manufacturing' carbon dioxide intensity was 4.049%,while other effects had smaller contribution to manufacturing' carbon dioxide intensity.

关 键 词：技术进步效应 能源结构效应 行业结构效应 制造业 二氧化碳排放强度 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]