中国财政政策区域非对称效应的实证研究  

Empirical Study on the Regional Asymmetric Effects of Fiscal Policy in China

作　　者：肖翠仙[1] 

机构地区：[1]梧州学院,广西梧州543002

出　　处：《湖南财政经济学院学报》2013年第3期113-119,共7页Journal of Hunan University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社科规划基金项目"新时期中国财政货币汇率政策绩效评价与政策搭配研究:兼政策搭配管理当前通胀预期研究"(项目编号:10YJA790007)阶段研究成果之一

摘　　要：把中国分为八大综合经济区,采集各区域1952-2011年的数据,运用结构向量自回归模型,实证检验中国财政政策的区域非对称性效应,结果显示:中国财政支出和税收收入对GDP的影响存在明显的区域非对称效应,各综合经济区产出对财政支出的冲击响应是正向的,其中对东北和黄河中游综合经济区的影响最大,对大西南综合经济区的影响最小,之间相差达5倍;除了南部沿海综合经济区外,其他各综合经济区的产出对税收的冲击响应是负向的,其中对东部沿海和东北综合经济区的影响最大,其比受影响最小的大西北和大西南综合经济区高4倍。Dividing eight comprehensive economic zone in China, this paper makes an empirical test of whether the regional asym- metric effect exists in China＇s fiscal policy by collected data for the regions from 1952 to 2011, which uses Structural Vector Autoregressive Model. The result shows that there exists significant regional non - symmetric effect on the effect of financial expenditures and tax income on outputs. The outputs of comprehensive economic zone on financial expendi- tures of impact response is positive, which on Northeast and Yellow River Middle integrated economic area is maximum, and on large Southwest integrated economic area is minimum, where is 5 times less the Northeast comprehensive eco- nomic zone. Beside southern coastal integrated economic area, other integrated economic areas of outputs on tax of im- pact response is negative, which on east coastal and Northeast integrated economic area is maximum, and it is 4 times larger than the Northwest and Southwest integrated economic zone which is the minimum.

关 键 词：财政政策 区域非对称性效应 结构向量自回归 

分 类 号：F812[经济管理—财政学]