基于系统动力学的自然灾害应急物流逆向回收决策研究  

Establishment of decision-making model for emergency reverse logistics based on system dynamics

作　　者：郭婧博[1] 杨育[1] 于鲲鹏[1] 张雪峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学机械传动国家重点实验室,重庆400044

出　　处：《计算机应用研究》2013年第7期1979-1982,共4页Application Research of Computers

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71071173);重庆市重点科技攻关项目(2010GGB108);国家教育部高等学校博士学科点科研基金资助项目(20090191110004);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(CDJZR10110012);富士康科技集团擢才创研计划项目(11F81210006);贵州省软科学项目(黔科合体R字[2011]LKC2014号)

摘　　要：为了辅助突发性自然灾害下应急物流的逆向回收决策,在总救援满意度优先的原则下,从系统动力学角度出发对多受灾点下可重复利用物资的逆向回收过程进行系统建模,综合分析了受灾点对物资的需求及逆向回收占用资源等其他因素,建立了回收频率与救援满意度之间的函数关系,并利用系统动力学软件Vensim对系统模型进行仿真。最后,通过算例证明了该模型的有效性和实用性,在此基础上分析了运输资源变化对救援满意度的影响。基于上述研究结论,为我国应急逆向物流提供了决策支持和对策建议。To support decision-making of reverse logistics under sudden natural disasters,based on the rescue satisfaction principle,this paper established a system dynamic model to simulate the recycle process.This model took shortage and unbalanced distribution of emergency materials,transportation occupation as well as other elements into consideration,and analyzed the functional relationship between recycle rate and rescue satisfaction.Finally,it proved feasibility and validity of the model by an example,and analyzed the sensibility of transportation occupation on rescue satisfaction.Based on the analysis results,decision-making support is offered for the emergency reverse logistics in China.

关 键 词：应急逆向物流 系统动力学 系统模型 决策研究 

分 类 号：X43[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] X507