民族地区新闻出版业发展的关键因素:理论与实证——以广西壮族自治区为例  

Key Factors in Developing News Publishing Industry of Ethnic Regions——Taking Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region as an Example

作　　者：唐奇展[1] 付琦[2] 贤成毅[2] 

机构地区：[1]广西大学学报编辑部,广西南宁530004 [2]广西师范大学经济管理学院,广西桂林541004

出　　处：《中央民族大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第4期91-96,共6页Journal of Minzu University of China(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：广西人文社会科学发展研究中心项目"广西文化软实力发展研究团队"(项目编号:KW273B)阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：通过从政治、经济、社会和技术等方面入手,分析影响广西壮族自治区新闻出版业发展的关键因素,选取广西1981—2010年30年间的地方文科教卫财政支出、人均GDP、城乡收入、在校大学生数、城乡消费、专利申请授权8个指标的年度数据作为样本,对其进行相关性和多重线性检验,采用逐步筛选组合法建立多元回归统计分析模型,结果表明:城乡收入、大学生数和城市消费对新闻出版业有正向促进作用;财政支出、人均GDP和专利授权对新闻出版业起到抑制作用。A survey was made to analyze the key factors in developing news publishing industry in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in political,economic,social and technological perspectives,by taking annual data of 8 index including financial expenditure of local departments in charge of cultural,educational and hospital development,GDP per capita,urban and rural income,university enrollment,urban and rural consumption,and patent application authorization from 1981 to 2010 as samples to test their correlation and multi linear regression,as well as to set up a multi-regression statistical analysis model through stepwise method.The results show that urban and rural income,university enrollment,urban and rural consumption are positive factors for news publishing industry,while financial expenditure,GDP per capita and patent application authorization are factors to restrain its development.

关 键 词：民族地区 新闻出版业 消费倾向 

分 类 号：G124[文化科学]