基于加权TOPSIS法的浙江省抗台风减灾能力评估  

Evaluation of Typhoon Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Ability in Zhejiang Province Based on Weighted TOPSIS Method

作　　者：张颖超[1] 范金平[1] 邓华[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学,江苏南京210044

出　　处：《灾害学》2013年第4期74-80,共7页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：公益性行业(气象)科研专项资助项目(GYHY201106040);江苏省产学研联合创新资金-前瞻性联合研究资助项目(BY2011111);江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD);江苏省研究生培养创新工程(CXZZ12_0514)

摘　　要：利用浙江省1978-2010年资料,采用主成分分析法对多个评价指标进行客观赋权,建立基于改变的加权TOPSIS法的抗台风减灾能力评估模型,以1994年为基准年份,对浙江省抗台风减灾综合能力进行定量评估分析。实验结果显示,历年来浙江省的抗台风减灾能力呈逐渐上升的趋势,在上升中存在小幅度的波动。与实际台风关联比较分析,得出该方法对于浙江省的抗台风减灾能力的评价是客观可行的,可以为该省的防台减灾建设提供方向指导。With the materials of Zhejiang province between 1978 and 2010, and by using principal component analysis, the weight of all factors are determined, and an index system for evaluation of typhoon disaster prevention and mitigation ability based on improved weighted TOPSIS method is established. By setting 1994 as the base year, typhoon disaster prevention and mitigation ability in Zhejiang province are evaluated quantitatively. The experimen- tal results show that, in the past many years, Zbejiang typhoon disaster prevention and mitigation ability is rising gradually, existing small amplitude fluctuations. With the history typhoon correlation comparative analysis, the con- clusion is drawn that this method for evaluating Zhejiang typhoon disaster prevention and mitigation ability is objective feasible; it can provide guidance direction for the province＇s typhoon disaster reduction construction.

关 键 词：抗台风减灾能力 主成分分析赋权 加权TOPSIS 浙江 

分 类 号：X4[环境科学与工程—灾害防治] P444[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]