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机构地区:[1]南京信息工程大学数学与统计学院,中国南京210044 [2]国家卫星气象中心遥感应用试验基地,广西气象减灾研究所,中国南宁530022 [3]中国气象科学研究院,中国北京100081
出 处:《地震学报》2013年第6期865-875,938,共11页Acta Seismologica Sinica
基 金:国家自然科学基金(41174165);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200906033;GYHY201306073-2);南京信息工程大学科研基金项目(20110420)资助
摘 要:为了研究20世纪中国地区主磁场变化,首先使用最新的全球模型IGRF11,CALS3K4.(3K4.)和GUFM1进行计算,并分析了1900—1990年的主磁场年变率均值的变化;然后基于1960—2000年以10年为间隔的实测数据,结合全球模型CM4与区域模型泰勒(Taylor)多项式(TY)模型分析了中国地区主磁场的年变率分布及年变率均值,并与上述几种全球模型进行了比较.结果显示:20世纪利用IGRF11,GALS3K.4和GUFM1模型得到的主磁场的年变率均值均很接近.它们所绘制的1960—2000年中国地区的主磁场年变率分布类似.其原因主要是由于它们的建模原理相同且截断阶数接近所致.基于实测点绘制的年变率分布与全球模型基本一致,X分量的年变率逐年减少,Y、Z、F分量的年变率均呈现先减小后增大的趋势.但两者也存在一定差异,主要原因是由于更高密度的实测点及使用区域模型所致.结果还显示了基于实测值绘制的年变率均值变化与CM4较为接近.作者认为CM4模型可以较好地反映中国地区主磁场的变化.In order to investigate the variation of main magnetic field in Chinese mainland during 20th century, the newest global modes, such as IGRF11, CALS3K.4 (3K.4) and GUFM1, were firstly adopted to calculate and analyze the mean values of annual rate of change (MAC) during 1900--1990. Combi-ning the global mode, CM4, and regional model, Taylor polynomial (TY), we analyzed the distribution of annual rate of change (ARC) and MAC with inter- val of 10 years, based on survey data during 1960--2000, and then made a com- parison with that of three global models. Results showed that the MACs are very close based on the models IGRFll, 3K.4 and GUFM1 throughout the 20th century. These three models demonstrated the similar distribution of ARC in China during 1960--2000, which is resulted from the same modeling theory and closed truncation levels. The distributions of ARC based on global and TY models are basically consistent, that is, the X component of ARC decreases with years, and Y, Z, F firstly decrease and then increase. However, there were some tiny differences between global models and TY model, which is caused by the higher density of valid survey data and the usage of regional mod- el. Results also showed that the MAC from TY model is consistent with that from CM4, indicating that the CM4 model is able to ideally reflect the variation of main magnetic field in Chinese mainland.
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