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机构地区:[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095 [2]农业部农村经济研究中心,北京100810
出 处:《农业经济问题》2013年第10期15-21,共7页Issues in Agricultural Economy
基 金:国家社科基金重大项目“建设以低碳排放为特征的农业产业体系和农产品消费模式研究”(编号:10ZD&031)的阶段性研究成果
摘 要:本文从农业产业链的全局视角出发,分解了产业链上的主要碳源,构建了农业产业链利益最大化及碳排放最小化的均衡分析框架。以农产品需求为导向,在确保农业生产者收益的前提下,可通过改变农产品生产运输模式来实现产业链的整体减排。同时,本文以长三角及周边地区猪肉生产流通为例,试算了产业链的整体减排空间及所需的补贴。研究结果表明,在不改变现有生产技术及运输效率的条件下,整体减排方案仍然有巨大潜力,从而为减排策略的选择提供依据。This paper examined the main carbon source from the global perspective of the agricultural industry chain and built a balanced analytical framework to maximize the interests of the agricultural industry chain and minimize carbon emissions,which oriented by demand for agricultural products. This framework could achieve the overall reduction of the industrial chain by changing the mode of production and transport of agricultural products under the premise of guaranteeing the agriculture returns. At the same time,the paper took pork production and circulation in the Yangtze River Delta and the surrounding areas for example to calculate the overall emission reduction space of the industrial chain and required subsidies. The results showed that under the condition of no change in the existing production technology and transportation efficiency, the overall emission reduction program still had great potential. Therefore,it provided the foundation for the strategy choice of emission reduction.
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