碳排放与福利关系研究——基于省级面板数据  

The Relationship between Carbon Emission and Wellbeing——Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：刘国平[1,2] 张云[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海立信会计学院开放经济与贸易研究中心,上海201620 [2]同济大学可持续发展与管理研究所,上海200092

出　　处：《软科学》2013年第11期102-106,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71173157);国家社会科学基金重点项目(11AZD102);上海高校青年教师培养资助计划项目(ZZLX13002);教育部青年基金项目(11YJC790289)

摘　　要：根据生态经济学理论,基于中国1997～2008年省级面板数据,对全国及其东中西三个地区子面板碳排放与福利两变量进行了单位根、协整以及Granger因果关系检验,得出以下主要结论：各地区碳排放与福利之间存在长期均衡关系；全国及其西部地区碳排放与福利互为Granger因果关系,但整体而言东中部地区两变量之间因果关系并不明显.据此提出中国低碳转型发展建议.This paper, according to ecological economics, based on the provincial panel data set from 1997-2008, makes u- nit root, cointegration and Granger causality test on carbon emission and wellbeing. The result shows that ： There is a long e- quilibrium relationship between carbon emission and wellbeing in China and all its sub area; Carbon emission and wellbeing are bidirectional causality in China and its western region. Generally speaking, in the eastern and middle region, the Grang- er causality is not obvious. Lastly, this paper puts forward some suggestions for Chinese low-carbon transformation develop- ment.

关 键 词：碳排放 福利 因果检验 低碳发展 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济] X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]