基于ABM模型的企业低碳行为管理模式转变分析  

A Study on Low Carbon Oriented Firm Behavior Management Based on ABM Model

作　　者：赵晓丽[1,2] 姚进[1,2] 刘志文[1,2] 宋翠 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206 [2]华北电力大学低碳经济与贸易研究所,北京102206 [3]神州数码控股有限公司,北京100080

出　　处：《管理评论》2013年第10期91-99,共9页Management Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71073053)

摘　　要：本文首次分析了低碳化与传统企业行为管理结合的动机,系统地分析了低碳化企业行为管理的研究进展,分别从技术进步、企业异质性特征以及企业生产环节和成本效益函数角度总结分析了现有文献中关于低碳化企业行为管理的研究特征。基于新古典经济学理论,构建了低碳化发展政策对企业行为影响的ABM(Agent-Based Modeling)模型,并结合对电力企业的问卷调查,对ABM模型进行了实证分析。结果显示,环境管制政策对大企业的C02减排效果影响最为明显,并将促进大企业经济效益的提高;但是,对小企业的C02减排效果影响相对较弱,并将对小企业的经济效益产生不利影响。This paper looks into the motive of integration of low-carbon economy and firms＇ behavior management for the first time, and analyzes comprehensively the current studies of low-carbon oriented firms＇ behavior management from the perspective of technical progress, enterprises heterogeneity, enterprises production and benefit function. Based on the theory of neoclassical economics, we construct an agent-based modeling （ABM） to illustrate theoretically the impact of low-carbon development policy on firms＇ behavior. Moreover, we make an empirical analysis based on the questionnaire of electric power firms. The results show that environmental regulation policies have important positive effects on CO2 emission reduction and performance improvement for large enterprises. While small enterprises suffer negative impacts in economic performance as well as the comparatively limited effect of CO2 emission reduction.

关 键 词：低碳政策 企业行为管理 ABM模型 CO2排放 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理] F205[经济管理—国民经济] F224