用批判性思维改善情报分析中的认知偏见——以朝鲜战争中美军情报失误为例  

Applying Critical Thinking to Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis: A Case Study of U. S. Military Intelligence Failures in Korean War

作　　者：蒋飞[1] 张静[1] 杜娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学理学院,西安710051

出　　处：《情报杂志》2013年第11期92-94,100,共4页Journal of Intelligence

摘　　要：认知偏见是导致情报分析失误的重要因素之一,源于情报分析人员认知方式的固有局限性。将批判性思维引入情报分析,简要分析了朝鲜战争中美军情报分析存在的认知偏见表现形式,进一步提出了利用批判性思维改善情报分析认知偏见的12种基本智力技能。Being derived from the inherent limitations in intelligence analysts＇ cognition, cognitive bias is one of the major factors leading to intelligence failure. This paper introduces critical thinking into intelligence analysis by analyzing briefly the forms of cognitive bias of the U.S. military intelligence analysis in the Korean War and puts forward 12 basic mental techniques of critical thinking to avoid cognitive bi- as and improve intelligence analysis.

关 键 词：批判性思维 批判性思维智力技能 批判性思维特质 情报分析 认知偏见情报失误 朝鲜战争 

分 类 号：G35[文化科学—情报学]