基于CAPM模型的青岛市海洋新能源开发风险研究  

Research on ocean new energy development risks in Qingdao based on the CAPM model

作　　者：刘佳[1,2] 万荣[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学水产学院,山东青岛266003 [2]青岛大学国际商学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《中国渔业经济》2013年第6期164-169,共6页Chinese Fisheries Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目山东半岛蓝色经济区资源可持续供给保障体系研究(11BJY061);教育部人文社科项目中国出口产业转型升级的多维低碳模式研究(10YZA790025);青岛市软科学项目山东半岛蓝色经济区海洋资源承载与海洋产业优化协调研究(13-1-3-139-4-(2)-zhc)资助

摘　　要：论文运用一般均衡理论,核算了海洋新能源开发经济与社会价值,发现按照青岛市海洋新能源开发预计规模,到2020年可创造5749.01万元经济效益,创造就业岗位52.56万FTE,实现CO_2减排5.85万吨,产生能源安全效应1674万元。同时,在借鉴西方发达国家经验基础上,结合青岛市海洋能开发进度,论文利用CAPM模型对青岛市海洋新能源开发风险进行评估,得出海洋新能源项目开发必要收益率为20.12%,显示出高风险性,但可获得的综合效益远大于所承担风险。Uses the general equilibrium theory, accounts the economic and social value of ocean new energy development, in accordance with the expected development scale, finds out that ocean new energy development of Qingdao can create ￥57.49 million economic benefits on 2020, create 525600FTE jobs on 2020, realize 58480 tons of CO2 reduction on 2020, the energy security effects will be ￥ 16 million, Draws on the experiences of western countries, combines with the development progress of the ocean energy in Qingdao, uses the CAPM model to evaluate the ocean new energy resources development risks in Qingdao, finds out that the ocean new energy development project required rate of return is 20.12%, showing high risk, which means the comprehensive benefits are far outweigh the risks.

关 键 词：CAPM模型 海洋新能源 风险评价 激励评价 

分 类 号：F326.405[经济管理—产业经济]