沿海地区入境旅游消费时空特征、趋势及发展对策  

Inbound Tourism Consumption Spatial and Temporal Characteristics, Trends and Development Countermeasures of Coastal Areas

作　　者：刘佳[1] 张佳佳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266071

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2014年第1期96-100,共5页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目"中国沿海地区旅游产业结构与旅游产业集聚关联机理研究"(编号:12CGL059);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"滨海旅游环境承载力与可持续开发研究--以山东半岛蓝色经济区为例"(编号:11YJC630130);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大培育项目"我国海岛旅游开发与管理研究"(编号:2012JDPY02)

摘　　要：基于2000—2011年沿海11省市入境旅游的相关指标数据,从时空差异视角揭示沿海地区入境游客消费水平、消费层次及其演变特征,采用灰色GM(1,1)模型,对沿海地区入境旅游发展态势进行预测分析。结果表明,我国沿海地区入境旅游消费水平不高,非基本资料所占总消费资料比重和入境旅游消费结构高级化指数低。为推动沿海地区入境旅游稳定、持续与快速发展,提出了相应的对策建议。Based on 11 coastal provinces and cities related indicators data of inbound tourism between 2000--2011 year, from the perspective of time and space differences reveal coastal regions inbound tourist consumption level, consumption level and its evolution characteristics, this paper used the grey GM （ 1,1 ） model to forecast the inbound tourism development trend in the coastal areas. The results showed that the coastal areas inbound tourism consumption level was relatively not high, the proportion of the non - primitive data of total consumption was low, high - level inbound tourism consumption structure index was low. To promote the stability of the coastal areas inbound tourism sustainable and rapid development, some corre- soondin~ countermeasures and suggestions were out up.

关 键 词：沿海地区 入境旅游 消费水平与结构 GM(1 1) 

分 类 号：F590.84[经济管理—旅游管理]