历史城区居民出行活动模式选择影响因素分析  

Analysis of effects of contributing factors on choice of activity pattern in historic urban areas

作　　者：叶茂[1] 于淼[1] 过秀成[2] 窦雪萍[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学交通工程系,南京210094 [2]东南大学交通学院,南京210096

出　　处：《东南大学学报（自然科学版）》2014年第1期211-215,共5页Journal of Southeast University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51208256;51008060);住房和城乡建设部科技资助项目(2012-K5-13)

摘　　要：探讨了历史城区内居民出行活动模式选择的影响因素,依据扬州市历史城区居民调查数据,将居民出行活动划分为家-工作/学习(内)-家、家-工作/学习(内)-其他-家、家-工作/学习(外)-家、家-工作/学习(外)-其他-家和家-其他-家5种典型模式.采用多项Logit模型分析了5种活动模式的选择与居民个体及家庭属性之间的关系,并探索了不同活动模式下的出行方式选择情况.结果表明,个体出行者的性别、年龄、职业、有无小汽车和家庭电动自行车数量显著影响着出行活动模式的选择,而家庭人口数、有无学龄前儿童、家庭自行车数、有无摩托车及家庭收入对于历史城区居民出行活动模式选择的影响并不显著.The factors contributing to the residents＇ choices of activities in the historic urban areas were investigated. Based on the household survey data conducted in the historic area of Yangzhou, the travel activity was classified into five types including home-work/school （inside）-home （H-W/S （I） -H ）, home-work/school （ inside ） -other-home （ H-W/S （ I ） -O-H ）, home-work/school （ exter- nal）-home （ H-W/S （ E ）-H ）, home-work/school （ external ）-other-home （ H-W/S （ E ）-O-H ） and home-other-home （H-O-H）. The multinomial Logit model was developed to explore the relationship between the choice of five types of activities and the individual and household attributes. The mode choices under different activity patterns were analyzed. The results show that the effects of individual travelers＇ gender, age, occupation, car ownership, and the number of electric bikes in the household on the choice of activity patterns are significant. Contrarily, the influences of the household popula- tion, preschoolers, the number of conventional bikes in the household, motorcycle ownership, and income on the choice of activities are unobvious.

关 键 词：历史城区 活动模式 影响因素 多项Logit模型 

分 类 号：U491.4[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]