地理视角下中国生产性服务业发展影响因素研究  

Study on Factors Influencing the Development of Producer Services in China: A perspective of Geography

作　　者：李一[1] 孙林岩[1] 冯泰文[2] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学管理学院,过程控制与效率工程教育部重点实验室,机械制造系统工程国家重点实验室,陕西西安710049 [2]西北工业大学管理学院,陕西西安710072

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2014年第2期51-57,共7页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70701029);国家社会科学基金项目(08XJY016);国家科技支撑计划项目(2012BAH08F06)

摘　　要：随着服务经济的兴起,生产性服务业在经济发展中的作用凸显,但目前我国生产性服务业发展还存在地区不平衡等问题。利用最小二乘(OLS)模型,识别出经济开放程度、外商直接投资(FDI)和工业化水平三大影响生产性服务业发展的因素,及其效应和作用程度。但是由于我国东中西三大区域生产性服务业发展的差异,采用地理加权回归(GWR)模型更能体现空间不平稳性和局部特性。实证研究结果表明,GWR模型比OLS模型的拟合程度更优,说明我国生产性服务业发展存在明显的区域不均衡,3个因素对全国各省份的影响程度也不尽相同。总体来说,经济开放程度和FDI对中西部省份的生产性服务业发展分别有更强的正向和负向作用,而工业化水平对东部省份的生产性服务业有着更明显的负向影响。With the development of service economy, the roles of producer services in economic development have been more and more important. But recently, there exits problems such as unbalanced development in various regions in the productive service enterprise in China. By the way of OLS （ordinary least squares）, we can recognize the effects and the effect degrees of three main factors that come from the degree of economic openness, FDI and industrialization. However, because of the difference of three main regions＇ producer services level of development, using the model of GWR （Geographically Weighted Regression） is more able to embody space instability and local quality. Empirical research manifests the model of GWR is better than the model of OLS, which indicates the existence of region unbalance during the development of producer services; and three different factors have different impacts on the development of producer services. In general, the degree of economic openness or FDI more stronger positive or negative influences to the development of the central and western provinces producer services, while industrialization is more evidently negative impacts on the eastern provinces.

关 键 词：生产性服务业 经济开放度 工业化水平 地理加权回归 

分 类 号：F063.1[经济管理—政治经济学]